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Designing and/or controlling complex systems in science and engineering relies on appropriate mathematical modeling of systems dynamics. Classical differential equation based solutions in applied and computational mathematics are often computationally demanding. Recently, the connection between reduced-order models of high-dimensional differential equation systems and surrogate machine learning models has been explored. However, the focus of both existing reduced-order and machine learning models for complex systems has been how to best approximate the high fidelity model of choice. Due to high complexity and often limited training data to derive reduced-order or machine learning surrogate models, it is critical for derived reduced-order models to have reliable uncertainty quantification at the same time. In this paper, we propose such a novel framework of Bayesian reduced-order models naturally equipped with uncertainty quantification as it learns the distributions of the parameters of the reduced-order models instead of their point estimates. In particular, we develop learnable Bayesian proper orthogonal decomposition (BayPOD) that learns the distributions of both the POD projection bases and the mapping from the system input parameters to the projected scores/coefficients so that the learned BayPOD can help predict high-dimensional systems dynamics/fields as quantities of interest in different setups with reliable uncertainty estimates. The developed learnable BayPOD inherits the capability of embedding physics constraints when learning the POD-based surrogate reduced-order models, a desirable feature when studying complex systems in science and engineering applications where the available training data are limited. Furthermore, the proposed BayPOD method is an end-to-end solution, which unlike other surrogate-based methods, does not require separate POD and machine learning steps. The results from a real-world case study of the pressure field around an airfoil. 

We propose a new model for supervised learning to rank. In our model, the relevance labels are assumed to follow a categorical distribution whose probabilities are constructed based on a scoring function. We optimize the training objective with respect to the multivariate categorical variables with an unbiased and low-variance gradient estimator. Learning-to-rank methods can generally be categorized into pointwise, pairwise, and listwise approaches. Although our scoring function is pointwise, the proposed framework permits flexibility over the choice of the loss function. In our new model, the loss function need not be differentiable and can either be pointwise or listwise. Our proposed method achieves better or comparable results on two datasets compared with existing pairwise and listwise methods. 

Abstract Background Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) is a powerful profiling technique at the single-cell resolution. Appropriate analysis of scRNA-seq data can characterize molecular heterogeneity and shed light into the underlying cellular process to better understand development and disease mechanisms. The unique analytic challenge is to appropriately model highly over-dispersed scRNA-seq count data with prevalent dropouts (zero counts), making zero-inflated dimensionality reduction techniques popular for scRNA-seq data analyses. Employing zero-inflated distributions, however, may place extra emphasis on zero counts, leading to potential bias when identifying the latent structure of the data. Results In this paper, we propose a fully generative hierarchical gamma-negative binomial (hGNB) model of scRNA-seq data, obviating the need for explicitly modeling zero inflation. At the same time, hGNB can naturally account for covariate effects at both the gene and cell levels to identify complex latent representations of scRNA-seq data, without the need for commonly adopted pre-processing steps such as normalization. Efficient Bayesian model inference is derived by exploiting conditional conjugacy via novel data augmentation techniques. Conclusion Experimental results on both simulated data and several real-world scRNA-seq datasets suggest that hGNB is a powerful tool for cell cluster discovery as well as cell lineage inference.